THE STASH MARCH 16, 2009
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That's one of the questions I grapple with a bit in my profile of Larry Summers this week. In addition to some ongoing developments that make you wonder, there's evidence from the recent past that our political system isn't ideally suited to dealing with financial and economic crises. The example I cite in the piece is the successuful U.S. loan package to Mexico in 1995, which wouldn't have happened if Congress had its way.
But however you feel about that, it's hard not to conclude that our political institutions are far, far better at dealing with these crises than their European counterparts. Paul Krugman has a really insightful riff on this in his column today:
Europe’s economic and monetary integration has run too far ahead of its political institutions. The economies of Europe’s many nations are almost as tightly linked as the economies of America’s many states — and most of Europe shares a common currency. But unlike America, Europe doesn’t have the kind of continentwide institutions needed to deal with a continentwide crisis.
This is a major reason for the lack of fiscal action: there’s no government in a position to take responsibility for the European economy as a whole. What Europe has, instead, are national governments, each of which is reluctant to run up large debts to finance a stimulus that will convey many if not most of its benefits to voters in other countries.
You might expect monetary policy to be more forceful. After all, while there isn’t a European government, there is a European Central Bank. But the E.C.B. isn’t like the Fed, which can afford to be adventurous because it’s backed by a unitary national government — a government that has already moved to share the risks of the Fed’s boldness, and will surely cover the Fed’s losses if its efforts to unfreeze financial markets go bad. The E.C.B., which must answer to 16 often-quarreling governments, can’t count on the same level of support.
In some ways the Europeans have too much democracy, in other ways too little: Each national government is pretty responsive to its citizens, which is why none of them is moving. But because there's no pan-European authority that has broad, democratic legitimacy, there's paralysis on that level, too. It really does make our political system look functional by comparison.
--Noam Scheiber
2 comments
The Euro governments cannot run large debts because they do not have currency creation power anymore. They are like our state governments, which also cannot run large debts. They borrow first then spend. Actually the EU is sort like they way a gold standard economy would work.
The US federal government is fundamentally different. It is the currency issuer and dollars are non-convertible to anything.
The ECB could fill this role by promising to buy a per capita value of Euro denominated bonds issued by member states. Or the European parliament could use whatever budgeting powers it has to run a deficit that pays per capita block grants to the member states. I'm not sure what artificial legal restrictions the EU has put on that sort of thing though, or even what powers the Euro parliament has. But someone who can issue currency has to run a deficit if currency users want to have money to use.
Another option would be to fix their currency to the dollar, and then try to export to the US in order to acquire dollars that would then allow them to issue more euros. This is a convoluted and ultimately self-impoverishing way to do things, but if that's what they prefer, we should humor them, it would only raise our standard of living.
- acria multa
March 16, 2009 at 2:43pm
george:
When you have spent years constructing a scaffold aimed at creating the conditions that cause financial and economic crises you can't just stop on a dime and gallop off in the other direction.
As for Europe, the EU is not exactly the equivalent of federalism. The members are all sovereign states.
In fact, this brings me back to the occasional "joke" from the Bush administration about how much easier it would be if the American government was able to bring down the hammer like the rulers in, say, China? No more snarling "politics" to gum up the works.
That is certainly one direction a "unitary executive" can take us....right?
george walton
- iambiguous
March 16, 2009 at 4:20pm