Colorado
The Coming Popular Vote Nightmare
It’s 2:17 AM on Wednesday, November 7th and President Obama has won reelection with 294 electoral votes. Colorado is still too close to call. But the network anchors aren’t mulling the course of Obama’s second term because they can’t help but notice the national popular vote. Romney's ahead…by a lot. READ MORE >>
Colorado 2012
2008 results: Public Domain Electionate coverage: READ MORE >>
With just nine days to go until the presidential election, new data from the National Journal shows ad spending surging in the so-called “Firewall” states as the Romney campaign tries to find paths to 270 and Obama tries to guard against Romney’s increased spending. READ MORE >>
It's Not 2008 In Colorado
In 2008, Colorado was the state that got Obama over 270 electoral votes. He won it by 9 points back then; today, though, Obama’s locked in an extremely tight race there. And to many who anticipated that Obama would build his reelection campaign around winning “new coalition” states where Democrats fared relatively well in 2010, Colorado’s descent down the tipping point state list has come as something of a surprise. READ MORE >>
Daily Breakdown: Polls Show A Tight Race In Virginia and Colorado
Virginia and Colorado have faded in importance as Ohio has reascended to its decisive role in teh Electoral College. But the two "new coalition" states of '08 remain competitive and yesterday's polls showed a tight race. READ MORE >>
Will Undecided Voters Tip the Election Against Obama?
As the 2012 election reaches the homestretch, most pundits are focusing on voter mobilization—turning out each side’s committed supporters. Is the Obama campaign’s ground game as good as its reputation? How much of an improvement does the Romney campaign represent over McCain’s? READ MORE >>
Ranking The Battleground States
Misinterpreting Ad Spending
This morning, NBC’s First Read published their most recent list of the most hotly contested markets and found that Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, and Florida only contributed one of the top-ten markets. For much of the summer, Virginia dominated the top-markets lists with Norfolk, Richmond, and Roanoke routinely vying for the top spot. READ MORE >>
Hints of an Obama Edge In Iowa
Tiny Iowa is worth just six electoral votes, but it’s surprisingly important to the electoral math. Iowa holds the keys to Colorado: if Obama lost Iowa, then a victory in Colorado wouldn’t get him over the top without winning another tipping point state, like Ohio or Virginia. If Obama lost Wisconsin but won Ohio, a win in Iowa (as well as Nevada and New Hampshire) could make up for lost ground. And victory in Iowa would be enough to reelect Obama if he also won Ohio and Wisconsin. READ MORE >>