Natural Disaster

Switching Back Into Convention Mode
September 02, 2008

Alan Brinkley--who is the provost and a professor of history at Columbia University, as well as a National Book Award-winning author--will be writing for us throughout the Republican convention. Last night's session of the Republican convention was as bizarre as any I've ever seen--and having grown up as a convention junkie, I've seen (and attended) a great many. It was jarring to flip around the networks and cable channels and find all the important broadcast journalists in storm gear somewhere on the Gulf Coast, hardly mentioning the campaign or the convention.

A Noun, A Verb, And ... Hurricane Gustav?
September 02, 2008

Yesterday I argued that Obama dodged a bullet with Gustav, since a more serious crisis would have primed McCain to play president this week, basking in the glow of an effective response he had nothing to do with. It seems as though the McCain campaign has come to a similar conclusion--and decided to shoe-horn Gustav into the McCain narrative anyway. At a high-profile New Hampshire-South Carolina breakfast this morning, campaign manager Rick Davis dwelled at length on what McCain's response to the storm said about his moral code.

Call It: How Obama Should Play Gustav
September 01, 2008

Campaigns despise the unpredictable nature of real world events unfolding in real time.

With Gustav Striking, Who's The Man In Charge Of Fema?
September 01, 2008

It was tough for President Bush to find a new FEMA director. After Michael Brown resigned in 2005 during the disastrous aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, convincing someone to take the top spot at the Federal Emergency Management Agency wasn't an easy sell. The New York Times reported in April 2006 that several people had turned it down, while others had declined other high-ranking agency jobs. At the time, out of 30 top officials in the agency, 11 were serving on an acting basis only. But, someone eventually answered the call to lead. R.

Call It: How Obama Should Play Gustav
September 01, 2008

Campaigns despise the unpredictable nature of real world events unfolding in real time.

How Gustav Could Benefit The Republicans
August 31, 2008

The conventional wisdom seems to hold that Hurricane Gustav, expected to make landfall at some point within the next 12-24 hours, could quite literally be a disaster for the Republicans as they attempt to hold their National Convention in St. Paul. I am here to present a devil's advocate case that the opposite may be true.But firstly, a little bit more context on the storm. I would suggest that you all bookmark Jeff Masters' blog at Weather Underground, where much of this information is taken from.Within the past 12-24 hours, three things have happened with Gustav.

Where We Stand: Advantage Obama
August 30, 2008

Where do things stand? The Democrats had an incredibly successful convention.  The storyline coming into the week was Democratic division -- going out it was Democratic unity and the strength of Senator Obama's speech.

A Shortened Gop Convention: Blessing In Disguise
August 30, 2008

The Page reports that the Republican convention might be "trimmed, altered or even suspended for a day or two" thanks to Hurricane Gustav, now rolling towards the Gulf Coast. The first reaction will be that it's a hardship for Republicans to change their convention plans, but actually I think a diminished convention could be a very good outcome for the GOP. Scaled back to a two- or even one-day greatest-hits event, it wouldn't be as evident that the RNC had been scrounging for speakers and a lot of prominent Republicans never showed.

Where We Stand: Advantage Obama
August 30, 2008

Where do things stand?The Democrats had an incredibly successful convention.  The storyline coming into the week was Democratic division -- going out it was Democratic unity and the strength of Senator Obama's speech.

Today's Polls: The Worst Poll In The World
August 25, 2008

Sort of the calm before the storm here in Denver, where I'm fired up and ready to go take a nap.Three firms snuck polls in overnight. Here in Colorado, Suffolk University has Barack Obama ahead by 5 points. I think a touch of skepticism is warranted about this poll, simply because Suffolk has never before polled Colorado, but we certainly have a wide mix of polling in Colorado, with no fewer than seven firms having released numbers within the past couple weeks.

Pages