New Mexico
Earlier this month, two lesbian couples in New Mexico headed to the Bernalillo County clerk’s office in downtown Albuquerque and applied for a marriage license. As expected, they were denied. And, as planned, the ACLU immediately filed a lawsuit on their behalf, setting the future of gay marriage in New Mexico on a path to the state Supreme Court. READ MORE >>
The Filibuster and "The Fermata"
How To Judge The Right’s Flight From Romney
Daily Breakdown: Polls Show Obama As A Clear Favorite In A Close Race
The president’s modest lead in the critical battleground states and tenuous advantage in the national polls is small by historic standards, especially for an incumbent president running for reelection. Nonetheless, the president’s lead is clear enough and consistent enough to deem him an obvious favorite heading into Election Night. READ MORE >>
Ralph Nader Takes Center Stage, at Last
Ralph Nader, the perennial candidate, has spent the last two decades fighting to get into a presidential debate. This year, he finally got one on his own terms. All it took was sitting out the election. READ MORE >>
Ranking The Battleground States
Why Green Bay Is The Most Saturated Market In The Country
According to NBC First Read, Green Bay is the most saturated political market in the country. And there's a simple reason for that: there are more swing voters in the Green Bay media market than anywhere else. While Obama’s ’08 improvement in states like North Carolina and Virginia received considerable attention, Obama actually improved over Kerry’s performance in Wisconsin by 14 points, a similar margin to the two red-to-blue states. READ MORE >>
Could Obama Win Arizona? Here's The Math.
Today, a poll found Obama leading by two points in the generally uncompetitive state of Arizona, where neither campaign has aired advertisements. Given that Obama's trailing nationally and locked in a tight race in states like Nevada and Colorado, Obama probably doesn't have a lead in Arizona, so let's just cut that argument out of the discussion. READ MORE >>
Daily Breakdown: Romney's Chances Are In Jeopardy
Last Monday, I wrote that “If Obama’s four point lead persists through the week, Obama should be considered a very strong favorite for reelection.” The last week has come and gone, and Obama retains a four-point advantage nationally. This argument will be elaborated on over the course of this week, but the bottom line is that Obama’s a heavy favorite for reelection. READ MORE >>
Why Romney's Money Advantage is No Game-Changer
With the memory of the conventions fading and initial signs pointing toward an Obama bounce, attention is already turning to Romney’s ability to mount a comeback. In the minds of many, Team Romney’s financial advantage tops the list of reasons for Republican optimism. Indeed, the Romney campaign and its allied super PACs are poised to spend millions on a historic advertising campaign that some argue could bury Obama and swing undecided voters toward Romney. And yet ... READ MORE >>
