POLITICS FEBRUARY 1, 2013
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Well, now we know: the Scott Brown Era lasted almost exactly three years, from January 2010, when he upset Martha Coakley to win the “Kennedy seat,” and thereby robbed the Democrats of their filibuster-proof Senate majority, imperiled and greatly complicated the prospects for passing Obamacare, and set the stage for the Republican wave the following fall. It ended today, with the surprising word that Brown would not run for the state’s other Senate seat, vacated by John Kerry’s move to be Secretary of State.
And yes, it was an era unto itself. Nobody symbolized better than Scott Brown the dismay and anxiety that beset Democrats and liberals a year or so into Barack Obama’s presidency and has only recently started to lift, following his reelection. It is hard, even now, to overstate the shock of the victory by this back-bench state senator, a former nude Cosmo center-fold who had dared to mock the whole notion of a “Kennedy seat” in his debate against Coakley, who so brazenly flaunted an anti-intellectual, regular-guy shtick in a state that had prided itself on the caliber of its political elites.
The Tea Party in Massachusetts! Never mind that Brown’s late surge was driven more by a flood of Wall Street dollars than by tea-partier pluck; never mind that Candidate Coakley embodied the worst sort of upper-crust establishment-pol complacency. No, if Scott Brown had won in Massachusetts, then bad things surely lay ahead. And of course they did: a Democratic wipe-out in November 2010, the effects of which will be felt for the next decade to come in Congress and state legislatures, thanks to the wonders of decennial redistricting.
The surest sign of how deeply Brown’s win had cut was the recurrence of Democratic anxiety over Kerry’s aspirations to become secretary of state. Was the White House so foolhardy, went the cry, to create another opening in Massachusetts for the diabolical Scott Brown to seize? From the start, this panic struck me as somewhat overdone. First of all, Brown had just lost his seat, to a candidate who, while extraordinarily well-funded, had not exactly had the smoothest debut on the campaign trail. Yes, a special election would be different—with lower turnout among the Democratic base that came out in droves for the presidential election. What was overlooked by the worrywarts, though, was that the circumstances would also almost surely be different than they had been in the last special election, which arrived just as unease over Obama and the lousy economic recovery was starting to crescendo, and which, crucially, was set up to be such a perfect way to deliver a symbolic and consequential rebuke.
This will not be the case for the special election this June, even if things turn somewhat against Obama in the months ahead and even if the Democratic nominee (so far, Reps. Ed Markey and Stephen Lynch are vying for the spot) turns out to be less than scintillating. Times, quite simply, have changed. Not only did Obama win reelection, but it is the other party that is now on the wrong side of the general public mood on any number of issues, from the fiscal morass to guns. Democrats should never have worried so much about having to defend an open seat in a state where Obama won 61 percent against the state’s former governor. A longtime senator with a yen for being secretary of state should have been able to put himself forward for that without setting liberal alarm bells ringing about the fate of the seat he would leave open.
But that was the extent of the trauma caused by Scott Brown, and it’s only now, with his exit from the national scene—for a run for governor, or to cash in on his Dodd-Frank favor-currying for Massachusetts financial giants, or who knows what else—that traumatized Democrats can rest assured that it’s finally done with. It’s safe. The black GMC Canyon pick-up has left the building. You can come out now.
Follow me on Twitter @AlecMacGillis
9 comments
The election catapulting Mr. Brown into the US Senate was the result of a very weak campaign by the Democratic candidate. Nothing more, nothing less. The post correctly points out that Blue Massachusetts briefly turned Red because the Red guy was the only one in the race with a heartbeat. It isn't easy to draw correct inferences regarding any change in public attitudes from an election that wasn't very competitive from the get go.
- Doug12
February 1, 2013 at 6:56pm
Well, I didn't like his snide debate performance and if he runs for governor, I don't need to watch his next debates.
- Nusholtz
February 1, 2013 at 8:31pm
"Times, quite simply, have changed." MacGillis forgets that today is groundhog day. In 2009 contributors to this magazine were writing obituaries for the Republican Party. Prematurely, as it turned out. And so it is in 2013. It's true, the Republican brand was so tarnished in 2008 even a black man could beat their candidate; and he did. And in 2013, the Republican brand is so tarnished that Obama could appoint a Democratic Senator to be Secretary of State without worry that the Democrats might lose his seat. And he could appoint a former Republican Senator to be Secretary of Defense who has the support of . . . nobody. What's next, appoint another rapacious banker as Secretary of Treasury! Like Notre Dame fans, one victory in September and they are making reservations for the national championship game in January. Good luck with that.
- rayward
February 2, 2013 at 8:05am
Yes, we did this in Maryland too. Putting up against a weak Republican candidate for Governor, an even weaker Democratic Lieutenant Governor candidate "because it was her turn". Well, she turned out to be an incompetent campaigner, and gave the seat to a Republican. Maryland suffered under this Governor until he could be replaced, just as America has suffered under Republicans willing to use the filibuster to shut down everything -- even their own bills. <br>Well, lesson learned, I hope. Even if it's a "Democratic Seat", the Democrats have to put up quality candidates, or see the Republicans take immediate advantage.
- AllanL5
February 2, 2013 at 12:51pm
Oh, and by the way, we really could use some way to force paragraph breaks, AND a 'Preview' button for our postings. I'm getting used to this NEW Republic optimized for cell-phones, but there's still some things from the "old days" that have utility. Oh, and what's with all the comments being in Italic? Surely we can tell when 'comment text' is a comment without having Italics all the time.
- AllanL5
February 2, 2013 at 12:55pm
Agree completely with the comments about the comments. The italics are terrible. So is having them in quotes; what's the point of that? Plus I shouldn't have to click on "response" to see the responses; don't really see much utility there either.
- dsimon
February 2, 2013 at 3:16pm
SHOW ALL 2 RESPONSES
Gosh, I hope you are right. There were a lot of pretty happy folks in my part of the state when Brown won. And I've made a wrong turn into confederate-flags-ville too many times to ever think MA is solidly blue....
- Wonderland
February 2, 2013 at 4:41pm
No, it was not the "Scott Brown era", and no, he is not through. He dominated neither state politics nor the Senate. If he is a candidate for Governor in 2014, depending on his opponent, he could be formidable. Articles that state questionable or dubious propositions as proven facts annoy me.
- JackR
February 4, 2013 at 10:07am
This article says nothing, like most of what is on this brave new website. Design over substance--perhaps a new Esquire or a Los Angeles magazine. How about some new topics, new writers, less fluff--I can get that on Huffpost.
- mlottman
February 4, 2013 at 4:23pm