ENVIRONMENT DECEMBER 24, 2012
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Former Senator Chuck Hagel served in the Senate as a Republican, but you could be forgiven for thinking otherwise this week: Most of the attacks on his potential nomination as Secretary of Defense have come from conservatives troubled by his realist foreign policy views and past statements on Israel. This has led some liberals to rush to his defense. “He wanted the United States to exert influence internationally, but by working with other countries,” John Judis wrote. But Hagel’s belief in international cooperation had its limits. As a senator, he actively worked against one of the most important diplomatic efforts during his time in office: the Kyoto Protocol to limit climate change.
Hagel’s environmental record may, in fact, become his main sticking point with liberals. In 1997, Hagel coauthored the Byrd-Hagel resolution, which opposed the Kyoto Protocol. As late as 2005, he was raising questions about how much of climate change is attributable to human activity and opposed to the McCain-Lieberman cap and trade bill. His lifetime rating on the League of Conservation Voters National Environmental Scorecard is a paltry 5 percent.
"Hagel's work on the environment that may prove to be a more nagging question [than his views on Israel]," wrote National Journal's Matthew Cooper. A Daily Kos blogger suggested Hagel's environmental record may be "disqualifying."
But a closer look at Hagel’s environmental record suggests it’s not as bad as it seems--especially where it intersects with national security, which would be his purview at Defense. During the Bush administration, Hagel co-sponsored a bill to develop an International Clean Technology Deployment Fund to promote international deployment of U.S. clean energy technology in developing countries. He also introduced bills to create corporate loans and tax credits for the development of domestic clean energy. And, most significantly, Hagel joined Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) in requesting that the National Intelligence Estimate study the effects of climate change.
"We included that in the committee draft of the intelligence authorization bill, over the objections of James Inhofe, and even though it was cold out," jokes Andrew Holland, who was Hagel’s legislative aide on environment and energy at the time.
Hagel’s recognition of climate change as a national-security issue is important: After all, it’s becoming more and more important to Defense. The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review noted, "climate change... may act as an accelerant of instability or conflict, placing a burden to respond on civilian institutions and militaries around the world."
As the Center for Climate and Security explains, there are three main problems for the military posed by climate change: Extreme weather can threaten the American homeland and military installations. Naval bases are located on the coastline, and rising sea levels and severe flooding could destroy them, or the power stations they rely upon. Drought, dust storms and forest fires could affect military bases in the U.S. interior. And, as the 2010 QDR notes, "Extreme weather events may lead to increased demands for defense support to civil authorities for humanitarian assistance or disaster response both within the United States and overseas."
Droughts and unpredictable rainfall patterns can endanger American troops abroad. Transporting water and fuel to troops in the field can be one of the most dangerous activities the military engages in. A 2009 study of the war in Afghanistan by the Army Environmental Policy Institute found one casualty for every 24 fuel resupply convoys and a casualty for every 29 water resupply convoys.
Changing weather patterns can create instability in regions of strategic importance to the U.S. An Arctic Ocean free of summer ice--and therefore accessible for oil drilling-- would create competition between neighboring nations. Similarly, the Center for a New American Security warned in a report earlier this year, “Climate change will compound the ongoing resource struggles in the South China Sea region. Security experts caution that climate change could act as an ‘accelerant of instability’ by exacerbating environmental trends in ways that may overwhelm civil-society institutions.” For example, warming waters will cause fish to migrate northward, leading to increased fishing in contested waters and possible confrontations between China and neighbors such as Vietnam.
The Pentagon has to take climate change seriously if it is to adjust to these emerging challenges. There are two main ways in which it has begun to do so: threat assessment and its own carbon footprint. On the former, Hagel's work on the NIE suggests he is likely to handle the issue responsibly. He has spoken repeatedly of the importance of understanding a changing environment and its implications for national security. "America and the world face unprecedented, complex, and interconnected 21st Century challenges,” Hagel recently said, regarding an American Security Project report. “Environmental issues will continue to have unpredictable and destabilizing effects on developing and developed countries.”
It is less clear how committed Hagel would be to reducing emissions. This is no small matter: The U.S. Department of Defense is the world’s single largest consumer of energy. In recent years, efforts have begun to make its vehicles guzzle less gas and its installations more efficient. It has also begun to develop renewable energy sources for its own infrastructure.
Is there a risk Hagel will undermine these endeavors? Some analysts argue that he will continue to pursue energy efficiency, whether or not he cares about climate change, because it is good policy for other reasons. “DoD's been very clear that its efforts are about efficiency and effectiveness first, climate second,” says Heather Hurlburt, executive director of the National Security Network. “Hagel's a pragmatist and a veteran. He's not going to stop research that will save money and lives, by doing things like ending the need for dangerous and expensive fuel convoys into Afghanistan.”
If environmentalists got to choose the Defense Secretary, they would not choose Hagel. But they have a strong ally in Sen. John Kerry, Obama’s nominee for Secretary of State. While it’s fair for liberals to wonder why Democrats cannot appoint fellow Democrats to run the Pentagon--Obama's first Defense Secretary was Robert Gates, a holdover from the Bush administration, and Bill Clinton's last Defense Secretary was William Cohen, a former Republican senator from Maine--Hagel is unlikely to stand in the way of sensible climate policy.
28 comments
Liberals shouldn't fear Chuck's environmental record. Jews shouldn't fear his comments about a pushy Jewish lobby. Gays shouldn't fear his comments about flamboyant homosexuals. What's next? What else are we not supposed to fear about Chuck? Makes you wonder don't it?
- arnon1
December 24, 2012 at 12:08am
Arnon, what can I say but, agreed.
- basman
December 24, 2012 at 12:30am
What's next? umm, maybe someone can connect the dots between Hagel and the Black Plague of the 14th century? btw, the news cycle is moving on to Michele Flournoy and/or some man named Ash for SecDef. Just make sure neither wants to procure more bayonets and horses...
- K2K
December 24, 2012 at 7:56am
Hagel is a quirky but useful dissenting voice in the Senate. He has strong isolationist tendencies, no doubt reinforced by real life experiences. But what was Obama thinking about when floating his nomination in the Washington ethersphere? Possibly because O may feel that he's been misled and unduly pressured by the generals on Afghanistan, therefore needs the ability to push back and needs a critical look at the Pentagon shopping list by someone with institutional knowledge.
- amidut
December 24, 2012 at 8:10am
It appeared to me that as long as the criticism of Hagel came from the pro-Israel advocates there was a tendency to dismiss them as par for the course. What else would you expect from the Jewish Lobby? But then the Lesbian and Gay community recalled his record concerning their community and all of a sudden this became a much weightier case against him, making it into MSNBC. Yet these two records and now the environmental issue, are in perfect accord with each other. One would expect a person who is noticeably and unabashedly cold towards Jews to be equally "realistic"about gays or about other issues that are traditionally associated with the Left (for some reason these have become issues of the "Left" though they concern the whole scope of humanity's well being). The rich irony in this is that people who would normally embrace Hagel for his positions on Israel find themselves excluded from his circle of amity on issues that are close to their level of comfort. But don't expect them to pause and ponder this irregularity on their part.
- Noga
December 24, 2012 at 9:00am
I am concerned that Chuck Hagel is getting unfairly "Riced" in the run-up to the naming of a Secretary of Defense nominee. The gay community might want to ponder that President Clinton signed the Defense of Marriage Act. Should he now be considered a pariah? Time changes many things. Many Israelis and Israeli supporters (myself among the latter) have serious misgivings about Israel's illegal colonization of West bank territory (and AIPAC's unembarrassed defense of it). As does President Obama. Should this be disqualifying for Hagel? Not for me. Some of his fellow Republicans distrust him because he turned against the war with Iraq. As in the case of Obama, I consider this a mark of perspicacity and good judgement. I hope that Obama doesn't allow the various pot-shotters to determine who may or may not be appointed to his Cabinet and that he isn't deterred from naming Hagel, whom I regard as a man of great ability and uncommon integrity.
- JackR
December 24, 2012 at 10:30am
Sounds like Hagel is Jack R's and people who believe in the fairy tale about the Third world. having been destroyed by The West, nominee. To me Hagel is just another self righteous privileged character attacking those who made his privilege possible.
- arnon1
December 24, 2012 at 12:23pm
Bill of particulars against Hagel: (Some anyway) 1. Hagel on defense-the sequester cuts ok-- spending contradicts Panetta; 2. His endorsement of containment of Iran stands his against Obama; 3. His homophobia is to be noted; 4. His votes against sanctions on Iran when in the Senate even after negotiations had failed and Obama then turned to sanctions; 5. His refusal to assent to classifying the Iranian Revolutionary Guards as terrorists; 6. Iran would interpret choice as military option being off table and embolden it to proceed; 7. That would make Israeli attack more likely; 8. He spoke of the Jewish lobby intimidating "a lot of people;" 9. Insistence on direct negotiation with Hamas; 10. "In October 2000, when Yasser Arafat’s Palestinian Authority (PA) launched a terror war against Israel after rejecting without a counter-offer a plan for Palestinian statehood accepted by Israel, Hagel was one of only four senators who refused to sign a Senate letter in support of Israel;" 11. "In July 2001, Hagel was in a minority of only two senators to vote against extending the original Iran-Libya sanctions bill, designed to deny both regimes revenues that would assist their weapons of mass destruction programs;" 12. "November 2001, Hagel was one of only 11 senators who refused to sign a letter urging President George W. Bush not to meet with Yasser Arafat until his forces ended terrorist violence against Israel;" 13. " In November 2003, he failed to vote on the Syria Accountability Act (passed by 89 to 4) imposing sanctions on Syria for its support of terrorism and occupation of Lebanon;" 14. " In June 2004, Hagel refused to sign a letter urging Bush to highlight Iran’s nuclear program at the G-8 summit;" 15. "In July 2006, at the outbreak of the Lebanon war, Hagel argued against giving Israel the time to break Hizballah, urging instead an immediate ceasefire;" 16. "The following month, he was one of only 12 Senators who refused to formally call upon the European Union to declare Hizballah a terrorist organization;" 17. "In 2007, Hagel declined to support the bipartisan Iran Counter Proliferation Act aimed at targeting governments and businesses that assist Iran’s nuclear program;" 18. "The following year, a congressional aide told the Huffington Post that Hagel was “solely responsible” for blocking an Iran sanctions bill;" 19. Generically he's a loose cannon and an outlier.
- basman
December 24, 2012 at 1:04pm
...Israel's illegal colonization of West bank territory.. You're quite certain of that are you?
- basman
December 24, 2012 at 2:50pm
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2012/12/a-tough-sunday-for-hegal.php "In my opinion, Hagel’s positions are actually close to Obama’s views. However, Graham is correct that they are to the left of the president’s stated positions."
- Noga
December 24, 2012 at 3:01pm
@ JackR P.S. Be my guest, please make that case.
- basman
December 24, 2012 at 3:04pm
TNR is going the way of the Guardian. Wait and see.
- Noga
December 24, 2012 at 5:12pm
Obama briefly floated Hagel as a VP, yes, running mate, in 2008. And Mayor Bloomberg did quite publicly discuss running with Hagel as a third party choice in 2008. When Obama won his Senate seat in 2006, he got on the Foreign Relations Committee, and hooked up with Lugar and Hagel on nuclear non-proliferation, a tight group including Susan Eisenhower and Sam Nunn outside of the Senate. Hagel was NOT on the Senate Armed Services Committeee during his 12 years as a Senator, so I am not so sure he has the depth of institutional knowledge of Pentagon spending outside of all the extras, esp Halliburton logistics and other private contractors, added 2001-08, which probably does not include the longterm weapons programs (WHEN IS anyone going to delve into the F-35JSF????, the most expensive and porked-out program still not on the chopping block) So, I am surprised about Hagel's Senate record, as basman has so excellently laid out in chronological order. I am dismayed more by his refusal to sign letters of support in basman's points 10 and 12 than his apparent consistency that sanctions do not work, lest we forget that Senators Rubio and Menendez don't like Hagel on Cuba. Really too bad that Evan Bayh is not on the short list for SecDef. He served on the Armed Services Committee, was a 2-term governor of Indiana, and I am fairly certain that Hillary promised him her VP slot when she thought she was inevitable. They went to Afghanistan, and, back then, I had C-Span3, and saw their presser, and then Bayh announced he would not run for the nomination in 2008. Anyway, for some reason, I see SecDef being the #1 member of Obama's team who will keep Pakistan and Egypt's militaries coherent enough to maintain enough stability. The USA just spent the last thirty years cultivating these two militaries with US training and education... And, when I think of that, I figure that is why Obama wants Hagel. Regardless of his positions on whether sanctions work or anything else, Chuck Hagel has a spine of steel, and shrapnel scars on his face, and all these men who run all these militaries will know that Hagel means what he says. The problem is what would he say? Some GOP are questioning Hagel's judgment about the Iraq "surge". I believe he did let his Vietnam experience color his judgment. At the time, I thought the USA had a moral obligation to try to stop the sectarian violence that stupid war had created (I opposed the Iraq war, supported the surge as a one time effort, unlike Vietnam) I think if Obama wants two Vietnam vets for State and Defense, let him have them. FWIW, I think Susan Rice withdrew her name because her very high net worth emerged, based on the timing. Floating Hagel's name sure flushed out the neocons who misled us into Iraq, and gave succor to those who think there is a "Jewish lobby". What I encountered in Obama's 2008 campaign website was a chorus chanting "Neocon-AIPAC-Zionist conspiracy who got us into Iraq" That was his base and they really believed it. Three more days. will miss this. But, I am reading The Guardian more (they seem to have noticed Meshaal's RocketPalooza). And, I do not want the creator of that 2008 campaign website to data mine my comments now that he owns tnr.com also fwiw, Hagel grew up poor, volunteered for 'nam in order to support his widowed mother and three younger brothers.
- K2K
December 24, 2012 at 6:19pm
There's also the concern about what he would do in Afghanistan. Would he seriously grapple with what is needed in order to sustain action against the Taliban in Kandahar Province or would he assert that what is adequate to service action against Al Qaeda in Yemen, which unlike Afghanistan can be supported from sea based assets, is adequate to service operations in Kandahar and FATA? Would he be as impervious to any information suggesting that the limits he wants to impose on resources deployed are inadequate to the task as Rumsfeld was? Basically, Hagel seems like someone who thinks that his service in Westmoreland's war taught him everything there is to know about Abrams' war. That colors everything about how he assesses today's wars.
- sighthnd
December 24, 2012 at 6:30pm
"Some GOP are questioning Hagel's judgment about the [Keane plan for Iraq]" The problem is with Hagel's reasoning process regarding the Keane plan, aka the "surge." Instead of looking at the Keane plan's assessment of what was going wrong in Iraq and then assessing whether the components of the Keane, including not just the increase in troops, addressed those problems, Hagel just noted the increase in troops and called it "throwing troops at the problem." If he couldn't make an assessment of what was going wrong in Iraq, what makes him qualified to make an assessment of what is going wrong in Afghanistan/Pakistan?
- sighthnd
December 24, 2012 at 6:46pm
thanks for the explanation sighthnd. In other news, how can tnr.com write about Hagel's environmental record without noting he sits on the board of Chevron?
- K2K
December 24, 2012 at 7:13pm
NRDC is tnr.com's advertiser past few days. Green gifts. Save a whale nursery on the ad now. Seriously, DoD has very ambitious Green Energy Programs. Or, not so seriously, we can add War on CO2 to the War on Terror and the War on Drugs. I was in a different Window when only this one survived whatever just happened.
- K2K
December 24, 2012 at 8:05pm
As Basman indicates, the debate about Hagel has a lot to do with Islamic Iran, what course of action Obama should take in the next few months when Iran has only succeeded in stalling for yet more time. Hagel is supported by Thomas Pickering and some other retired US diplomats. Pickering is adviser to NIAC, the pro-regime National Iranian American Council.
- amidut
December 24, 2012 at 8:56pm
"In other news, how can tnr.com write about Hagel's environmental record without noting he sits on the board of Chevron?" Hagel's sitting on the board of Chevron would be relevant if he was being considered for a position in the EPA. About the only area not covered in this article that would be an environmental reason to assess Hagel for Defense would be his position on noise pollution in the oceans, and there I'm not sure that enough has been brought up publicly to compare him to anyone else. One can have other reasons to oppose Hagel, as I have listed, but the environment should only be an issue if his defense policies would have an adverse effect on the environment, which however one feels about him on other issues, one should recognize his do not. "Seriously, DoD has very ambitious Green Energy Programs." It's not purely about the environment. It is also about needing to deliver less fossil fuels to theaters of operation thus easing the military's logistics, a pressing issue when those logistics operate across hostile territory like the Khybar Pass. There again, there is also the recognition that environmental effects, such as sea level rise especially if amplified by loss of the polar ice sheets, can be just as destructive to our country as anything any of our enemies could inflict. That is one of the topics of CNAS' blog Natural Security.
- sighthnd
December 24, 2012 at 9:57pm
What a lot of fuss. President Obama should just phone up Prime Minister Netanyahu, find out which person he wants for SecDef and just name that person. Problem solved. Just to be safe, probably ought to find out who the leadership of HaBayit HaYehudi wants for the Department of Interior.
- DC Spence
December 25, 2012 at 10:03am
Spence, the minor David Duke, will have his little antisemitic joke.
- arnon1
December 25, 2012 at 10:25am
Tend to agree with arnon. All this stuff we're not supposed to be afraid of? Hello?
- Sophia
December 25, 2012 at 4:12pm
Anyway, why don't we have a Secretary of the Environment? It would, after all, be nice to have a viable planet to live on. And animals! Yes! Real animals, including eagles and mustangs and orcas and wolves. Also bears. We're so busy killing stuff. Why isn't this a huge problem?
- Sophia
December 25, 2012 at 4:14pm
"Also bears." Sophia has never seen a bear in the wilds close up, I guess. What about snakes, Sophia?
- arnon1
December 25, 2012 at 5:24pm
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-25/gcc-states-to-form-unified-military-command-in-response-to-iran.html "GCC to Form Unified Military Command Amid Iran ‘Threats’ " by Wael Mahdi - Dec 25, 2012 11:04 AM ET "The Gulf Cooperation Council said it will form a unified military command structure at a time when Iran poses a “very serious” security threat to the Middle East. ..." which supports what is becoming obvious in the Sunni-Shi'a schism: the monarchies are increasingly looking like the base for any military action against Iran. The UAE bought bunker busters, for what else? Which is why Hagel as SecDef may be a good choice, maybe. The Ultimate psych-op would be to keep Israel out of military actionagainst Iran's nuclear sites. A blip in the news cycle: American-Armenians have also now protested Hagel's indifference to whether there was an Armenian genocide in 1915 Turkey. Here is the latest summary of opinions on Hagel as SecDef, a bit skewed by the Walt Effect (and Walt is one of those quoted): http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/12/washington-roundup-part-2-arguments-for-and-against-chuck-hagels-nomination/266626/
- K2K
December 25, 2012 at 6:35pm
K2k, hope u stay.
- basman
December 25, 2012 at 11:40pm
Thanks to basman and malahat, and others who have expressed same in other tnr threads. But, Dec. 27 is my last day as a tnr.com commenter. I can still read what you write, and thus continue the completely schizoid online experience of bouncing between the left and the right, or, even better, maybe time to stop thinking about the politics of the USA, at least online.
- K2K
December 26, 2012 at 1:34pm
This flurry of pro-Hagel pieces has confirmed my suspicion that TNR is gradually shedding its principled liberalism to align itself with the New York Times/Guardian/Le Monde view of International Relations: the Middle East will be pacified when Israel disappears as a sovereign state, the US should drop its pretensions to promote liberal democracy abroad and the only threats to liberal democracy are the liberal democracies themselves (if they have the right to call themselves democracies at all). I will not be renewing my subscription in 2013.
- Singlpayer
December 27, 2012 at 8:26pm