Arizona

After the GOP was trounced by Latino voters on Election Day—a nightmare scenario that sophisticated observers had seen coming for a long time—I called former Minnesota Senator Norm Coleman, the Chairman of the Board of the center-right American Action Network and its related organization, the Hispanic Leadership Network.

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Millions of voters remain to be counted.

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Rick Perry's presidential campaign may have been a joke, but did it help decide the 2012 election?

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FreedomWorks shot for the Senate this year, and fell far short.

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26 Election Day Predictions

What's Obama's Best State? How about Romney's Best County?

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As we move into the final days of the campaign season, all eyes are trained on the race for the presidency. But the presidential election is far from the only item on Americans’ ballots.

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Instead, follow the polls and the candidates.

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Arizona 2012

2008 results:  Public Domain Electionate coverage:   Could Obama Win Arizona? Here's The Math | 10/14/2012  Daily Breakdown: Conflicting Signals About Obama's Standing With Likely Voters | /12/2012 Obama's Game Plan to Win Arizona | 6/26/2012   View Nate Cohn’s most recent posts, or return to Electionate’s Electoral Map.

A new poll shows Obama up by 2 points in Arizona, but could Obama really win the state?

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The tracking polls showed Obama remaining at elevated levels, but the Washington Post threw a wrench into a clear assessment of the race:   The Washington Post showed Obama leading by 1 point among likely voters but 6 points among registered voters, a bounce of 3 points among likely voters and 7 points among registered voters. As a result, the gap between registered and likely voters actually widened after the DNC, presumably because Obama only swayed the views of unlikely voters without convincing them to turnout on his behalf.

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