New York

Here’s my rule of thumb: Data-driven electoral analysis gets harder and harder the farther you get from a two-party presidential election. There are fewer polls, and they’re less accurate. Partisanship becomes less powerful. Turnout is less predictable. You can’t handicap the race with well established “fundamentals,” like national economic growth. And in the place of partisanship and fundamentals, candidate quality and local politics—where traditional reporters thrive—prevail.

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Even Bill de Blasio Won't Be Able to Fix Income Inequality

As mayor, he'd be battling the one percent—and history

Mayor de Blasio would be battling the one percent—and history

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A couple months ago, as it dawned on New Yorkers that the mayoral campaign was not just background noise but actually worth paying attention to, my friends and I became more aware of the contours of the Democratic race. I soon realized something else: Everyone I knew was for Bill de Blasio, the current public advocate, whom a new Quinnipiac poll just placed in the lead for the September 10 primary, the first major poll to do so.

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Obamacare got some good press this morning, for a change. According to state officials in New York, insurance premiums for residents buying coverage on their own will fall by 50 percent next year, thanks to the new health care law. That’s before taking into account the federal subsidies that, for many and possibly most insurance buyers, will lower premiums even more. You’ve heard of “rate shock”? This would be the good kind—assuming it all checks out.

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Must-See Summer Art Shows

Three of New York's best

Three idiosyncratic exhibits at the Met, MoMA, and Neue Galerie

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This homage to the Franch New Wave makes make Lena Dunham look like Hannah Arendt.

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Against the godforsaken glamour of international art fairs.

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Behind Andrew Cuomo's Book Bout With Fredric Dicker

Did a presidential contender quash an unfriendly biography?

Did a presidential contender quash an unfriendly biography?

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Gun-Toting Carpetbaggers

My quest to find a New Yorker who moved to Texas because of gun control

My quest to find a New Yorker who moved to Texas because of gun control.

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The Cuomo Conundrum

Will his 2016 ambitions hurt his ability to run New York?

Andrew Cuomo has been leading the charge of American liberals for over two years now. The New York governor made history in the spring of 2011 by steering marriage equality through the state’s dysfunctional legislature. Last spring, he urged decriminalizing the public possession of marijuana, his response to the racially-charged pot busts under New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s “stop and frisk” regime.

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