The New Republic

 The polls show a close race heading into the final presidential debate. READ MORE >>

Last week, Gallup released a demographic breakdown of its likely voter survey, which at that time found Romney leading by 4 points, 50-46. But it found that Romney’s biggest gains were in just one region: the South, where Romney held a massive 22-point lead. Perhaps predictably, this aroused latent liberal suspicions that Obama’s deep weakness in the South was responsible for Romney’s strength in the national polls. But a closer look suggests that the gap between the national and state polls probably isn’t the result of deep weakness in the South. READ MORE >>

Iowa is ground zero for early voting, where more than 300,000 voters or 20 percent of the eventual electorate already cast ballots. Many have observed that registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by a 49-31 margin, giving registered Democrats an early edge of 55,000 in ballots already cast. Democrats hold a smaller 15 point lead in ballot requests, but hold a larger numeric edge of 70,000 ballots.  Is this a sign that Obama is about to sweep to a decisive Iowa victory? So far, the numbers are not inconsistent with a win for either side.  READ MORE >>

Ohio rests at the center of Obama's claim to an advantage in the Electoral College, but analysts offer diverging assessments of the race in the country's most critical state. Some say Obama has a big lead, others say it's a true toss-up and that Romney has the momentum. But what do the polls actually say in the Buckeye State? Here are five things to know. 1)   Obama's lead is small, but consistent  On average, Obama leads by 1.9 points in surveys conducted entirely after the first debate. READ MORE >>

Heading into the critical final presidential debate on foreign policy and possible direct negotiations with Iran about their nuclear program, polls find strong public support for a U.S. military operation to destroy Iran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons if Iran continues its pursuit of nuclear capabilities. READ MORE >>

Yesterday's national polls continued to suggest a tight race in which the president holds a slight edge. READ MORE >>

At first glance, North Carolina’s apparent competitiveness seems surprising. Even though Obama won North Carolina by just 14,000 votes in an election he won by more than 7 percent nationally, both campaigns treated North Carolina as a battleground state in 2012, an election which promises to be far closer than 2008. And despite a tied national race, Obama remains within striking distance in North Carolina, where post-debate polls show Romney leading by just 3 points. READ MORE >>

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When the Supreme Court issued the Citizens United ruling, panicked Democrats began to write their own obituary. How could they possibly compete against the seemingly infinite army of billionaire conservatives like Sheldon Adelson and their new super PACs? READ MORE >>

If the national race stays deadlocked, the race comes down to the electoral math and yesterday’s polls suggested that the president was well-positioned in several states on his path to 270 electoral votes.      READ MORE >>