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Go Home Shame on Anyone Who Ever Thought Mohammad Morsi Was a...

PLANK NOVEMBER 26, 2012

Shame on Anyone Who Ever Thought Mohammad Morsi Was a Moderate

Nobody should have been surprised when Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi issued a “constitutional declaration” on Thursday asserting total political power. This was, after all, the former Muslim Brotherhood leader’s second power grab since he took office in June, complementing his earlier seizure of legislative and constitution-writing authorities by now insulating himself from judicial oversight. Yet Washington was caught entirely off-guard: Morsi’s power play was at odds with the administration’s view that the Muslim Brotherhood is a “democratic party,” and his impressive handling of last week’s Gaza ceasefire created a modicum of trust between him and President Obama. So the State Department released a predictably confused statement, urging “all Egyptians to resolve their differences … peacefully and through democratic dialogue.”

Washington ought to have known by now that “democratic dialogue” is virtually impossible with the Muslim Brotherhood, which is now mobilizing throughout Egypt to defend Morsi’s edict. The reason is that it is not a “democratic party” at all. Rather, it is a cultish organization that was never likely to moderate once it had grasped power.

That’s because the very process through which one becomes a Muslim Brother is designed to weed out moderates. It begins when specially designated Brotherhood recruiters, who work at mosques and universities across Egypt, identify pious young men and begin engaging them in social activities to assess their suitability for the organization. The Brotherhood’s ideological brainwashing begins a few months later, as new recruits are incorporated into Brotherhood cells (known as “families”) and introduced to the organization’s curriculum, which emphasizes Qur’anic memorization and the writings of founder Hassan al-Banna, among others. Then, over a five-to-eight-year period, a team of three senior Muslim Brothers monitors each recruit as he advances through five different ranks of Brotherhood membership—muhib, muayyad, muntasib, muntazim, and finally ach amal, or “active brother.” 

Throughout this process, rising Muslim Brothers are continually vetted for their embrace of the Brotherhood’s ideology, commitment to its cause, and—most importantly—willingness to follow orders from the Brotherhood’s senior leadership. As a result, Muslim Brothers come to see themselves as foot soldiers in service of the organization’s theocratic credo: “Allah is our objective; the Quran is our law; the Prophet is our leader; Jihad is our way; and death for the sake of Allah is the highest of our aspirations.” Meanwhile, those dissenting with the organization’s aims or tactics are eliminated at various stages during the five-to-eight-year vetting period.

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The Brotherhood, in other words, does not tolerate pluralism—it methodically works to extinguish it. In this vein, when a number of its most prominent youth activists— including organizers of the January 2011 anti-Mubarak uprising—disagreed with the Brotherhood’s decision to form a single political party after last year’s revolution, they were banished. Similarly, when longtime Brotherhood leader Abdel Monem Abouel Fotouh decided to run for president at a time when the organization had decided against fielding a candidate, he was banished. And when some Brotherhood youths supported Abouel Fotouh’s campaign, they were banished as well.

Nor does the Brotherhood tolerate dissent from outside the organization. It has often accused its critics—Christians in particular—of launching a “war on Islam.” And during last year’s parliamentary elections, it frequently accused its non-Islamist opponents of apostasy.

Moreover, despite its participation in elections, the Brotherhood views formally democratic institutions as means to an end, rather than as sacred in and of themselves. The Brotherhood was perhaps most candid in 2005, when it declared on its official website, “If democracy means that people decide who leads them, then [we] accept it; if it means that people can change the laws of Allah and follow what they wish to follow, then it is not acceptable.” But the Brotherhood’s undemocratic outlook was more openly on display this past June when, in the run-up to the announcement of the presidential elections results, Muslim Brothers occupied Tahrir Square and—at the orders of their leaders—declared themselves ready to fight if Morsi was not named the winner. 

Despite the brazenness of the Brotherhood’s undemocratic practices and outlook, however, many within the American policy community gave the Brotherhood the benefit of the doubt. This was particularly the case following Mubarak’s ouster, when Arab Spring optimism dissuaded too many analysts from taking a discerning look at Egypt’s newly emerging leaders. Rather than going through a laundry list of those who called it wrong, I offer the following e-mail I received from an editor shortly after the revolution, responding to my proposed article critiquing the Brotherhood:

Be forewarned that people may be hostile to your conclusion—there is an understandable sentimental attachment to the Egyptian Revolution and an equally understandable fear in US discourse of letting Islamophobia color our impression of the MB. Of course I know your writing on the MB to be objective and fair, but just keep in mind that there will be an especially high burden of proof here.

There was, in other words, the prevalent view that the Muslim Brotherhood was a contributor to Egypt’s democratic awakening, and that those who attacked it were cranks of either the anti-Muslim or pro-autocratic variety. The notion that one might oppose the Brotherhood precisely because of his hope for Egyptian democratization was entirely lost in these kinds of exchanges.

Morsi’s second power-grab in five months, however, has laid bare the mutual exclusivity between the Muslim Brotherhood and democracy. Indeed, as the first protests mounted against his edict, Morsi responded by encouraging confrontation rather than compromise, declaring his opponents “weevils eating away at the nation of Egypt.” Brotherhood youths echoed Morsi, calling for “cleansing” the country of Morsi’s top critics, including Nobel Laureate Mohamed ElBaradei and former presidential candidates Amr Moussa and Hamdeen Sabahi. Meanwhile, prominent Muslim Brothers have advocated violence to defend their president. In this vein, senior Brotherhood adviser Gehad El-Haddad tweeted on Saturday that, “When future of Egypt is in balance, … we are more than wiling to pay for it with our lives not votes.” Even more ominously, following the death of a Brotherhood youth in clashes on Sunday, Saad El-Shater—the son of a top Brotherhood leader—accused Morsi’s opponents of starting a “civil war,” and warned that “the Brotherhood has a surplus of manhood.”

Given the surprising strength of the anti-Morsi protests, it is too soon to know how this episode will end. But within the American policy community, Morsi’s edict has catalyzed a new consensus regarding the Brotherhood’s undemocratic nature. Indeed, even the Brotherhood’s most consistent American defenders are suddenly reversing course, openly calling for using economic aid as leverage for compelling Morsi to change his behavior. This is an important development: given the Brotherhood’s belief that it can mobilize its legions of foot soldiers to win any street battle domestically, only international pressure might force it to think twice. And thanks to Morsi’s recklessly autocratic constitutional declaration, calls for applying international pressure are growing rapidly.

Eric Trager is the Next Generation Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

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Thesolution, of course, is to advance civil society to the point where people aren't electing the Muslim Brotherhood. If the liberals in the country total no more than 20%, it's going to be hard to operate as the democracy everyone is looking for in the Middle East unless they are complicit in perverting the political system by colluding with the army to repress the Muslim Brotherhood and hold unfree elections. After all, this is approximately the path of Turkey, and it was easier there as the population of Westernizers/liberals was larger, the army was viewed as less repressive, and the transition went by fits and starts over decades--it's still not over. There's no very good answer here, other than changing the population or reversing the political system back into more outright repression, since one of the reasons that secular elites are discredited is because they repressively maintained the machinery of government for the last several decades. Now, if the Muslim Brotherhood winds up governing like Mubarak, that's just not good for their own interests, since regardless of whatever religious reforms they institute, the lack of economic improvement will tarnish their prospects and the revolution is sufficiently proximate that their hold would be tenuous, even if they wanted to get quite repressive. Of course, if you're the US, I think what you do is make it clear that you won't tolerate the MB becoming a new Mubarak regime and since the economy is currently profoundly weak, you clarify that an economic depression looms by way of aid cuts in case they're thinking about going that way. Besides these things, though, there's not too much to do. It's a complicated situation and the US can't be seen as the puppetmaster promoting another undemocratic regime in Egypt. (Although clearly it can be seen doing that thing in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan. Things that are significantly unremarked upon in our domestic media.)

- chaitless

November 26, 2012 at 1:16pm

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Egyptian politics is anything but dull. Beginning early this year, a legislature was elected only to be disbanded by court order, martial law has been imposed and then suspended and from time to time, the military asserts its authority to rule. A president has been elected and continues to serve without a legislature that had been composed of many of his party's members. Who was it that said it's lonely at the top?

- Doug12

November 26, 2012 at 2:11pm

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Hope springs eternal I guess, especially among people seeking moderation and "democracy." How democratic is Hamas? Do popularly elected politicians/parties guarantee an open society with equal rights? We'd like to think so. So why do people elect oppressive parties? An acquaintance with family in Egypt wrote during the initial demonstrations against Mubarak, "Egypt is finished if MB gets in." So many people in Egyptian want a modern, inclusive, forward looking society. I'm confused that MB was elected in the first place.

- Sophia

November 26, 2012 at 3:56pm

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Sophia the reason is that so many many more people don't want a modern, inclusive forward looking society that the many people who do, when assessed objectively, turn out to be a rather limited minority based in Cairo and a couple of other urban areas. It's a common misreading of the situation that e.g. Europeans often make about the United States, because they are personally acquainted with a few Americans who espouse liberal and tolerant ideas that speak to Europeans' own biases.

- ironyroad

November 26, 2012 at 4:38pm

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"So why do people elect oppressive parties?" 1) They don't want to run their own daily lives--too much responsibility. 2) They want to "get even" with another group of people or nation (guess which people and nation that is for most Egyptians). 3) They feel they need to be put on a leash, because otherwise they might run murderously amok. Many Russions, e.g., feel this way, even today. It's inconceivable why an educated person would think that the Brotherhood is democratic in any way. Like Lenin, they worked tirelessly underground for a long time to brainwash recruits, organizing for the Day of Opportunity, and the silly Facebook Revolution brought that day (a Flash Mob for Democracy--ridiculous). Egypt now has only two ways to go--a religious dictatorship under the MB or a military dictatorship that keeps the MB from taking complete power. The average Egyptian doesn't even understand what democracy is. At its core it is a willingness for the individual to take responsibility for his or her life, and Egyptians just don't have that in their history. One of the greatest myths that both conservatives and liberals both believe fervently is that all humans are born with a natural yearning to be free. And that simply isn't true.

- magboy47.

November 26, 2012 at 5:12pm

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Almost half of Egyptians are illiterate and below their poverty line, so , if they vote, they vote for whoever is still supplying subsidized bread. Will Egypt's MB doom those who dissent to starvation, as North Korea does, as Stalin did? Worse, will Egypt's MB fully embrace Sudan?

- K2K

November 26, 2012 at 6:42pm

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As between the two, I prefer military dictatorship to theocratic/ideological dictatorship. More amenable to reason and suasion on grounds of interest. One wonders whether the State Department is talking to the Egyptian military about playing a role somewhat similar to that of the Turkish military.

- roidubouloi

November 26, 2012 at 8:22pm

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The NYT covered this, but HuffPo does not have that pesky pay wall: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/21/turkey-military-coup-plot_n_1904363.html "Turkey Military Coup Plot: Court Convicts 326 Military Officers Over Attempt To Overthrow Government" By SUZAN FRASER 09/21/12 "ANKARA, Turkey -- A Turkish court on Friday convicted 326 military officers, including the former air force and navy chiefs, of plotting to overthrow the nation's Islamic-based government in 2003, in a case that has helped curtail the military's hold on politics. ... the officers' case – dubbed "Sledgehammer" after the alleged conspiracy – has been marred by the suspects' long confinement without a verdict and some judicial flaws, including allegations of fabricated evidence. The government's secular critics have denounced the coup plot trials as a ploy to intimidate opponents. ... More than 400 other people – including journalists, academics, politicians and soldiers – are also on trial on charges of involvement in a conspiracy by an alleged gang of secular nationalists called "Ergenekon." ..."

- K2K

November 26, 2012 at 9:05pm

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These regimes and their ideologies seem to be cyclical in the Muslim world. Up until recently (last century and a half--which is recent in historical terms) Muslim societies used to alternate between the the more moderate views of an Omar Khayyam ( a jug of wine and loaf of bread and thee) with the more puritanical visions of Almohads (I know Khayyam was Persian and the Almohads were North African but the principle holds. (Persian rule also alternated between periods of relative moderation and periods of Puritanical rule like the present government of the Ayatollahs and the previous regime of the Shah. Currently the bigoted puritanical Brotherhood seems to be i the saddle. We'll see if the the process of modernity is strong enough to break this old historical pattern in those societies as it did in the West, or did it?

- arnon1

November 27, 2012 at 12:42am

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Good post, Magboy.

- arnon1

November 27, 2012 at 1:00am

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Come on......... Is Syria a military dictatorship amenable to reason? This guy has been brainwashed to the point that he is a goyrnisht. He is touched by the legal liberated territories.....la la la la

- JAIMECHUCH

November 27, 2012 at 1:52am

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@MagBoy. Liberal secular democracy is not an easy option for the average Egyptian, who probably needs order more than freedom. Islam provides a familiar, if flawed, order and moral system, just as conservative Christianity does across the American Bible Belt. A good person is a "Muslim" person in Egypt and a "Christian" person in the American hinterland. Unfortunately, the Muslim Brotherhood has been able to use this territorial advantage to advance its reactionary agenda. It is eager and ready to use terror against its indigenous opponents.

- amidut

November 27, 2012 at 8:20am

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Time to hang my head in shame, but such a turn of events is hardly surprising to me. "Plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose." I'm sure Egypt will go on and it is remotely possible some progress will be made, but, even in the best light, it takes many generations and a sound infrastructure before anything close to the resemblance of a democracy is likely to really emerge. The development of democracy within the West has been the product of several millennia of discussions in political philosophy and numerous applied failures. Even now, democracy is a fragile entity. Such systems can only survive as long as there is sufficient trust that the system and infrastructure is believably fair. Hence, isn't it just a little presumptuous to think that Egypt will somehow instantly become a democratic nation after more than 5000 years of authoritarian rule? This seems to be a fundamental flaw in the way we (speaking as an American) grasp the world, perhaps because the US is a rather young nation and most of us have watched too many over-simplified Hollywood movies that resolve difficult problems within a two hour time span. What is left is to hope for the best, do what can be done to encourage a positive direction, and the rest is really up to the Egyptians themselves to figure out and settle amongst themselves.

- wkdawson

November 27, 2012 at 7:45pm

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"several millennia" ??

- Noga

November 27, 2012 at 8:47pm

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http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/hamas-anti-jewish-war-began-in-1930s-egypt/ "In June 1939 bombs were planted in a Cairo synagogue and Jewish homes, but this was as nothing compared to the violence to come. In November 1945, just six months after the end of the Third Reich, the Muslim Brotherhood carried out what Kuntzel calls the worst anti-Jewish pogroms in modern Egypt’s history, when demonstrators penetrated the Jewish quarter of Cairo on the anniversary of the Balfour Declaration. They ransacked houses and shops, attacked non-Muslims, and torched the synagogues. Six people were killed, and a hundred more injured. A few weeks later the Islamists’ newspapers “turned to a frontal attack against the Egyptian Jews, slandering them as Zionists, Communists, capitalists and bloodsuckers, as pimps and merchants of war, or in general, as subversive elements within all states and societies,” as Gudrun Krämer wrote in her study The Jews in Egypt 1914-1952. The rest is, as they say, history. More riots erupted in 1948, Jews were criminalized for being Jews, thousands fled, discriminatory laws were introduced against non-Egyptians and in 1956, a third of Egypt’s original 80,000-strong community were expelled and dispossessed. After 1967, hundreds more Jews were interned and expelled. The pitiful status of Jews in Egypt today would gladden the heart of any Hamas supporter: the country is almost judenrein, and the few dozen fearful Jews still living there – almost all converts to Islam or married to non-Jews – ‘know their place’. Bombs placed in synagogues have been replaced by long-range rockets trained on Israel’s population centres, but the objective is still the same: kill the Jews. Buoyed up by the support of Iran and emerging Islamist governments all over the Arab world, and now Islamist dictatorship in Egypt, Hamas feels it has scored a great victory. In spite of the decapitation of its senior leadership and the destruction in Gaza, Hamas believes it has emerged stronger from this latest round. It is only a matter of time before Islam will triumph over the infidel and reclaim the land that belongs to Dar al-Islam, even if it takes decades."

- Noga

November 28, 2012 at 10:15am

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