Iowa

Daily Breakdown: Polls Show Obama As A Clear Favorite In A Close Race
November 06, 2012

Obama holds a clear lead in the battleground states worth 270 electoral votes.

Romney’s Final Dash Hints At Bleak View Of Race
November 05, 2012

It's fair to say that their campaign doesn't see an especially credible path without Ohio.

Reframing Turnout: Why 2008 Wasn't As Unique As Many Imagine
November 04, 2012

Turnout in 2008 was high, but it wasn't as unusual as many imagine.

Daily Breakdown: Is It Really Tied In Pennsylvania? Probably Not.
November 04, 2012

The poll has a history of showing Romney doing well in Pennsylvania.

Obama's Defensive Travel Schedule
November 03, 2012

Obama's locking down Wisconsin, Iowa, and Ohio.

The Final Stretch: Saturday's Campaign Stops
November 03, 2012

For each of the last three days of the campaign, we’ll quickly note where Obama and Romney are heading, and why:. Obama Mentor, Lake County, Ohio. Lake County is a white, middle class county including the eastern suburbs and exurbs of Cleveland. Four years ago, Obama won it by just one percentage point, a four point improvement over Bush's four point win. If Romney wins, Lake County will certainly flip and Obama is fighting to prevent such an outcome.

Daily Breakdown: Romney Gets A Good Ohio Poll, But Not From The Pollster He Wanted
November 02, 2012

Romney needs good polls from more than just Rasmussen and a firm commissioned by Citizens United.

Don't Judge Strategy From Spending
October 31, 2012

Instead, follow the polls and the candidates.

What's Going On With Iowa? Nothing.
October 30, 2012

The state's demographics, history, and polls are all consistent with a tight race.

Why Florida Remains So Close
October 29, 2012

Romney can't make outsized gains in a state where McCain did relatively well, allowing demographic changes to keep Obama in the game.

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