Iowa

Romney's four point bounce won't give him the lead without outsized gains in key swing states.

READ MORE >>

Romney is dealing with getting outspent by taking risks in New Hampshire and Iowa.

READ MORE >>

Mugabe and Me

At an arts festival in Zimbabwe, the show must go on—even when the main event has been banned by the police.

READ MORE >>

Obama's bounce has been greatest in states where the unemployment rate is relatively low.

READ MORE >>

Foodies-in-Chief

What was Bill Clinton doing at Roberta’s? And does Mitt Romney really eat at “ethnic food joints”?

READ MORE >>

Foodies-in-Chief

What was Bill Clinton doing at Roberta's? And does Mitt Romney really eat at "neighborhood ethnic joints"?

READ MORE >>

Without CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac, today was all but assured to be a better polling day for Romney. That said, the polls still suggest that Obama leads nationally, as well as in states worth 348 electoral votes. Let's talk about Nevada. In most of the electoral maps produced here over the last four months, Nevada was presumed to be one of the very first battleground states to enter Obama's column.

READ MORE >>

Obama's national advantage is buttressed by a lead in states worth 348 electoral votes.

READ MORE >>

The big picture remains that Obama leads by around four points, with a similar edge across the critical battleground states.   The poll most likely to scream “headline” is Gallup, which is so far out of line from the other registered voter surveys that I don’t even know what to say about it. Obama leads by about 7 points among registered voters, and, no, the methodological criticisms you’ve heard don’t explain a gap of that magnitude. As Harry Enten of the Guardian (@ForecasterEnten) tweeted today, we would probably blow this off as a clear outlier if it was named something other than Gallup.

READ MORE >>

Pages

SHARE HIGHLIGHT

0 CHARACTERS SELECTED

TWEET THIS

POST TO TUMBLR