Opponents of immigration reform are right about one thing: Hispanics aren’t enough for Republicans to win back the White House. But that doesn’t mean that the GOP can sacrifice Hispanics without big consequences for their chances. That’s already happened in New Mexico and Nevada, where the Hispanic vote has flipped two states from red to blue. The GOP’s route to the presidency has survived the loss of those two small states—they’re worth just 11 electoral votes.
Winning More White Voters Won't Save the GOP
July 09, 2013
After Election Day, the conventional wisdom was that the GOP needed to make gains among Hispanics to win in 2016. Fox News' Brit Hume and Sean Hannity, for instance, quickly assessed the GOP needed to cave on immigration reform.
Markey Wins. No Surprise.
June 26, 2013
Despite occasional fears of a close race, Democrat Ed Markey defeated Republican Gabrielle Gomez by 10 points in last night’s special election. The results aren't a surprise, since non-partisan polls showed Markey up by a similar margin.
Not Everyone Loves the NSA's Snooping
June 11, 2013
The National Security Agency’s secret surveillance programs have proven extremely controversial, but the jury is out on whether they're popular.
Another Republican Senator in Massachusetts? Malarkey!
June 07, 2013
Don't expect Scott Brown redux. Ed Markey should top Gabriel Gomez.
The Fix Is In
June 06, 2013
Gallup blew the 2012 election. Can the polling firm bounce back?
June 03, 2013
Lautenberg's death creates a few wrinkles for Christie, Booker
May 31, 2013
Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee is a Democrat now. That doesn't mean his re-election is assured.
It's the Economy, Stupid. And Guns, Too.
May 24, 2013
Toward an understanding of the rise of suicides in America.
The data doesn't support Ross Douthat's argument.