The Swing State Where the GOP Desperately Needs Hispanics
July 11, 2013

Opponents of immigration reform are right about one thing: Hispanics aren’t enough for Republicans to win back the White House. But that doesn’t mean that the GOP can sacrifice Hispanics without big consequences for their chances. That’s already happened in New Mexico and Nevada, where the Hispanic vote has flipped two states from red to blue. The GOP’s route to the presidency has survived the loss of those two small states—they’re worth just 11 electoral votes.

Winning More White Voters Won't Save the GOP
July 09, 2013

After Election Day, the conventional wisdom was that the GOP needed to make gains among Hispanics to win in 2016. Fox News' Brit Hume and Sean Hannity, for instance, quickly assessed the GOP needed to cave on immigration reform.

Markey Wins. No Surprise.
June 26, 2013

Despite occasional fears of a close race, Democrat Ed Markey defeated Republican Gabrielle Gomez by 10 points in last night’s special election. The results aren't a surprise, since non-partisan polls showed Markey up by a similar margin.

Not Everyone Loves the NSA's Snooping
June 11, 2013

The National Security Agency’s secret surveillance programs have proven extremely controversial, but the jury is out on whether they're popular.

Another Republican Senator in Massachusetts? Malarkey!
June 07, 2013

Don't expect Scott Brown redux. Ed Markey should top Gabriel Gomez.

The Fix Is In
June 06, 2013

Gallup blew the 2012 election. Can the polling firm bounce back?

It's Complicated
June 03, 2013

Lautenberg's death creates a few wrinkles for Christie, Booker

Baitless Switch
May 31, 2013

Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee is a Democrat now. That doesn't mean his re-election is assured.

It's the Economy, Stupid. And Guns, Too.
May 24, 2013

Toward an understanding of the rise of suicides in America.

The Surge in Suicides Has Nothing to Do With Marriage or Religion
May 20, 2013

The data doesn't support Ross Douthat's argument.