Midwest
Waiting in the Midwest
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Don't Focus On National Early Voting Numbers
With the polls appearing to drift somewhat in Obama’s direction over the last week, one of Romney’s best data points came from two national subsamples of early voters. Pew and Gallup both found Romney ahead among early voters, which represented a sizable drop-off from 2008. Given that state polls routinely find Obama performing better among early voters than election day voters, these results were both surprising and good news for Team Romney. READ MORE >>
Nobody Likes Mitt
The Ohio Strategy
Meet Mark Pocan, the Original ALEC Spy
Today is the first day of the American Legislative Exchange Council’s (ALEC) annual meeting. State legislators from around the country will be attending, as will representatives from corporations looking to pitch model legislation. There will also be spies. READ MORE >>
With Obama struggling among independent voters and Democrats likely to constitute a slightly larger share of the electorate than Republicans, Romney will probably carry independents in a close national election. That doesn't mean the effects will be the same across the electoral map, though: Since independents aren't distributed evenly across the country, Obama's dependence on independent voters varies considerably by state. READ MORE >>
Super PAC Expands Midwestern Playing Field
If there’s anywhere the GOP’s fundraising advantage could pay dividends, it’s in the demographically vulnerable and undefended flank of Obama’s path to 270: the Upper Midwest. The Obama campaign isn’t airing ads in many traditionally competitive but Democratic-tilting states, like Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan, but the Romney campaign and their allies are getting more adventurous, and now appear poised to air advertisements in all three states. READ MORE >>
The Diversity of the White Working Class
Did Manufacturing Job Losses Hold the Midwest Back?
There is a strain of thought among some policy experts that manufacturing, especially in the Midwest, is a dead-end for regional economic development. READ MORE >>