Nate Cohn
Staff Writer

Republicans Lost the Standoff, But They Won't Lose the House. Unless...
October 17, 2013

The shutdown is over, but it lasted more than long enough to inflict significant damage to the Republican brand. A plurality of voters blamed the GOP for the shutdown, poll after poll shows the GOP’s favorability rating near record lows.

The Debt Ceiling Vote Shows That GOP Division Won't Die
October 17, 2013

The choreography of the last few weeks—the tea-party triggered impasse, the Senate compromise, and the eventual capitulation of the House GOP—must have felt familiar to anyone with memory of last winter’s fiscal cliff fight.

The GOP Can't Survive Without the Tea Party
October 15, 2013

Apparently, it’s become fashionable to wonder whether fissures in the GOP might eventually grow into a schism, with tea party candidates mounting independent challenges to the GOP in the 2014 elections.

Gerrymandering Still Isn't to Blame for the Shutdown
October 14, 2013

Gerrymandering is ugly. But you can't blame it for all Republican lunacy.

Republicans' Brutal New Poll Numbers Could Actually Be Much More Brutal
October 10, 2013

This evening’s NBC/WSJ survey was absolutely brutal for Republicans.

The GOP Can Rebound From Record Low Favorability Ratings
October 10, 2013

Just because the Republican numbers are in the tank doesn't mean they can't bounce back soon. It happened in 1999 too.

That Pollster Who Promises a Democratic Landslide Has a Track Record
October 09, 2013

Democrats are getting excited about retaking the House.

2013's Shutdown Backlash Against the GOP Is Actually Weaker Than 1996's
October 08, 2013

The public is angry. That much is clear after a week of polls since the government shutdown. But it’s harder to dissect how the public is apportioning blame between the two parties—let alone whether the GOP will suffer for it at the ballot box.

Take Back the House? Democrats Aren't Even Ahead on Friendly Turf In 2014
October 07, 2013

There’s nothing Democrats can do about gerrymandering, so here’s a radical proposal: Let’s turn our attention to whether Democrats are poised to capitalize on the opportunities that do exist in the House.

Quit Blaming Gerrymandering for the Shutdown
October 03, 2013

You don't have to look far to find people diagnosing gerrymandering as the source of all of our nation’s woes, including (but surely not limited to) the shutdown.