Wisconsin

Why Romney's Money Advantage is No Game-Changer
September 10, 2012

With the memory of the conventions fading and initial signs pointing toward an Obama bounce, attention is already turning to Romney’s ability to mount a comeback. In the minds of many, Team Romney’s financial advantage tops the list of reasons for Republican optimism. Indeed, the Romney campaign and its allied super PACs are poised to spend millions on a historic advertising campaign that some argue could bury Obama and swing undecided voters toward Romney. And yet ... There are good reasons to doubt whether Romney will get his money’s worth.

Romney's Electoral Map Is Tough Without Wisconsin
September 07, 2012

If Romney concedes Wisconsin, Obama's within striking distance of the magic number: 270.

Why Romney’s Convention Won’t Help Him Win Ohio
August 31, 2012

It's very hard to see how Romney wins without Ohio, where Obama just scored a big voting rights win. Did this week's convention help Mitt with that?

Cardinal Dolan’s Paul Ryan Problem
August 31, 2012

In the weeks since Mitt Romney selected Paul Ryan to be his running mate, there has been a lot of talk about whether Ryan will face problems with Catholic voters over the fact that church leaders have repeatedly criticized his budget for its extreme cuts to social programs and “fail[ure] to meet moral criteria.” But there has been very little discussion about the much bigger problem Ryan poses for the U.S. Catholic bishops themselves, especially the man who offered the benediction Thursday night after Romney’s acceptance speech—Cardinal Timothy Dolan. Dolan is both the president of the U.S.

OK, Ryan. Let’s Talk About Janesville And the Auto Industry.
August 30, 2012

Paul Ryan wants to talk about the auto industry? Let's do it. It may be the single best argument for Obama's reelection.

My Last Best Try at Explaining the Ryan Pick
August 29, 2012

Am I the only one who’s still head-scratchingly, shoulder-shrugingly, stare-aimlessly-at-the-heavens mystified by the Paul Ryan pick? Any explanation for the selection has to grapple with Ryan's enormous liabilities: He is a congressman who’s never run for office outside his Wisconsin district. He is the author of a wildly regressive budget plan that voters soundly rejected the one time they weighed in on it.

State of the Race: Obama Has a Narrow But Clear Lead
August 29, 2012

The race remains close, but Obama's advantage is quite clear.

Daily Breakdown: Likely Voter Screens Boost Romney
August 24, 2012

Fox News and CNN have surveys showing Romney making gains after shifting to a likely voter model. That’s utterly predictable, but the size of Romney’s gains is more interesting.

Daily Breakdown: Obama Ahead In Ohio
August 23, 2012

Today's polls show Obama doing well in the battleground states.

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