Wisconsin

Cardinal Dolan’s Paul Ryan Problem
August 31, 2012

In the weeks since Mitt Romney selected Paul Ryan to be his running mate, there has been a lot of talk about whether Ryan will face problems with Catholic voters over the fact that church leaders have repeatedly criticized his budget for its extreme cuts to social programs and “fail[ure] to meet moral criteria.” But there has been very little discussion about the much bigger problem Ryan poses for the U.S. Catholic bishops themselves, especially the man who offered the benediction Thursday night after Romney’s acceptance speech—Cardinal Timothy Dolan. Dolan is both the president of the U.S.

OK, Ryan. Let’s Talk About Janesville And the Auto Industry.
August 30, 2012

Paul Ryan wants to talk about the auto industry? Let's do it. It may be the single best argument for Obama's reelection.

My Last Best Try at Explaining the Ryan Pick
August 29, 2012

Am I the only one who’s still head-scratchingly, shoulder-shrugingly, stare-aimlessly-at-the-heavens mystified by the Paul Ryan pick? Any explanation for the selection has to grapple with Ryan's enormous liabilities: He is a congressman who’s never run for office outside his Wisconsin district. He is the author of a wildly regressive budget plan that voters soundly rejected the one time they weighed in on it.

State of the Race: Obama Has a Narrow But Clear Lead
August 29, 2012

The race remains close, but Obama's advantage is quite clear.

Daily Breakdown: Likely Voter Screens Boost Romney
August 24, 2012

Fox News and CNN have surveys showing Romney making gains after shifting to a likely voter model. That’s utterly predictable, but the size of Romney’s gains is more interesting.

Daily Breakdown: Obama Ahead In Ohio
August 23, 2012

Today's polls show Obama doing well in the battleground states.

Daily Breakdown: Romney Gains?
August 22, 2012

Why your friends seem to agree with you on everything.

Daily Breakdown: Wisconsin Is A Toss-Up
August 16, 2012

The biggest news is in Wisconsin, where the first post-Ryan polls show a closer race in the Badger State. While Obama’s 4-point edge in the CNN poll might look comfortable, notice that it’s a poll of registered voters, so it’s probably slightly closer. Given that Obama has a 3-point lead nationally, Wisconsin appears to have moved right into alignment with the nation as a whole. That’s hardly surprising given the expected bounce for a VP pic and it moves the state into the toss-up column.

Ryan Could Move Wisconsin Into The Toss-Up Column
August 11, 2012

Of all the states where Romney and Obama declined to air advertisements, none stood out more than Wisconsin. In 2000 and 2004, Kerry and Gore won by only the narrowest margins, and it’s a state where Obama depends on the support of a near majority of the white working class voters who have proven skeptical of his performance. But even though Obama has suffered big losses in Wisconsin since 2008, he appears to have retained just enough support to keep the state leaning toward Obama.

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