Electionate
October 05, 2012
Could State Unemployment Rates Swing the Election?
Obama's bounce has been greatest in states where the unemployment rate is relatively low.
October 04, 2012
Romney Won the Debate. But Will It Be Enough?
Whether Romney's upended the race or not, he will get a bounce in the polls.
October 03, 2012
Judge Romney's Performance With His Weaknesses In Mind
Romney needs to correct his favorability problem. Tonight.
Debates can bring old supporters back into the fold, but they haven't swayed undecided voters
October 03, 2012
Daily Breakdown: Romney Needs A Big Debate
Heading into the first debate, Obama holds a modest lead with approximately 49 percent of the vote. In the last forty-eight hours, 14 national polls show Obama leading by 3.6 points, 49.1 to 45.5 for Romney. Is that tightening? Perhaps only 3 of the 13 national polls suggest clear movement in Romney’s direction, including two released today: NBC/WSJ, which showed Obama’s lead among likely voters falling from 5 to 3 points, and a National Journal survey showed a tied race.
October 02, 2012
Daily Breakdown: Hints Of Tightening, But Not A Fundamental Shift
The Romney comeback narrative is already building. But is it too soon?
October 02, 2012
Zingers Don't Win Debates
Sighing and sweat have decided more presidential debates than great “zingers.”
October 01, 2012
Obama’s College Voter Trump Card
Obama doesn't need youth turnout to reach '08 levels to produce an electorate just as friendly to his cause.
October 01, 2012
Daily Breakdown: ABC/Washington Post Shows Tight Race
Obama continues to hold a clear lead heading into the debates, but the ABC/Washington Post pointed toward a tighter race.
October 01, 2012
Good News for Obama: The Turnout Gap is Closing
Over the last month, the number of Democrats claiming they will "definitely vote" has increased to nearly match the GOP.
